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Four AIs predict the 2026 World Cup group stage
Claude Opus 4.7, Claude Sonnet 4.6, GPT-4o and Gemini 2.5 Pro each predicted the
scoreline of all 72 group-stage matches from one shared evidence pack, with no web access and no
tools. Below: the standings each set of results produces, then every match prediction. Frozen
before kickoff on 11 June 2026.
Winner unanimous in 10 of 12 groupsGroup A split (GPT-4o: Czech Republic)Group B split (Opus 4.7: Bosnia and Herzegovina)All four back Turkey over hosts USA in Group D
Predicted standings
Teams in the panel's consensus order. The four squares are the four models
(Opus, Sonnet, GPT-4o, Gemini); the digit is where each places the team, the colour whether it
advances.
wins group
qualifies 2nd
3rd, advances
out
AGroup Awinner split
1๐ฒ๐ฝMexico1121
2๐จ๐ฟCzech Republic3312
3๐ฐ๐ทSouth Korea2233
4๐ฟ๐ฆSouth Africa4444
BGroup Bwinner split
1๐จ๐ญSwitzerland3111
2๐ง๐ฆBosnia and Herzegovina1323
3๐จ๐ฆCanada2232
4๐ถ๐ฆQatar4444
CGroup Cwinner agreed
1๐ง๐ทBrazil1111
2๐ฒ๐ฆMorocco2222
3๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟScotland3333
4๐ญ๐นHaiti4444
DGroup Dwinner agreed
1๐น๐ทTurkey1111
2๐บ๐ธUnited States2222
3๐ต๐พParaguay3343
4๐ฆ๐บAustralia4434
EGroup Ewinner agreed
1๐ฉ๐ชGermany1111
2๐จ๐ฎIvory Coast2322
3๐ช๐จEcuador3233
4๐จ๐ผCuraรงao4444
FGroup Fwinner agreed
1๐ณ๐ฑNetherlands1111
2๐ธ๐ชSweden2222
3๐ฏ๐ตJapan3333
4๐น๐ณTunisia4444
GGroup Gwinner agreed
1๐ง๐ชBelgium1111
2๐ช๐ฌEgypt2222
3๐ฎ๐ทIran3333
4๐ณ๐ฟNew Zealand4444
HGroup Hwinner agreed
1๐ช๐ธSpain1111
2๐บ๐พUruguay2222
3๐จ๐ปCape Verde3344
4๐ธ๐ฆSaudi Arabia4433
IGroup Iwinner agreed
1๐ซ๐ทFrance1111
2๐ณ๐ดNorway2222
3๐ธ๐ณSenegal3333
4๐ฎ๐ถIraq4444
JGroup Jwinner agreed
1๐ฆ๐ทArgentina1111
2๐ฉ๐ฟAlgeria2222
3๐ฆ๐นAustria3333
4๐ฏ๐ดJordan4444
KGroup Kwinner agreed
1๐ต๐นPortugal1111
2๐จ๐ดColombia2222
3๐จ๐ฉDR Congo3333
4๐บ๐ฟUzbekistan4444
LGroup Lwinner agreed
1๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟEngland1111
2๐ญ๐ทCroatia2222
3๐ฌ๐ญGhana3333
4๐ต๐ฆPanama4444
Every match
Each model's predicted final scoreline. Winner in bold; level scores are draws.
AGroup A
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท |
| ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | South Africa ๐ฟ๐ฆ |
| ๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Czech Republic ๐จ๐ฟ |
| ๐ฐ๐ท South Korea | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | South Africa ๐ฟ๐ฆ |
| ๐ฐ๐ท South Korea | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | Czech Republic ๐จ๐ฟ |
| ๐ฟ๐ฆ South Africa | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Czech Republic ๐จ๐ฟ |
BGroup B
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐จ๐ฆ Canada | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Switzerland ๐จ๐ญ |
| ๐จ๐ฆ Canada | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | Qatar ๐ถ๐ฆ |
| ๐จ๐ฆ Canada | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐ง๐ฆ |
| ๐จ๐ญ Switzerland | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Qatar ๐ถ๐ฆ |
| ๐จ๐ญ Switzerland | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐ง๐ฆ |
| ๐ถ๐ฆ Qatar | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐ง๐ฆ |
CGroup C
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ง๐ท Brazil | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | Morocco ๐ฒ๐ฆ |
| ๐ง๐ท Brazil | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Scotland ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ |
| ๐ง๐ท Brazil | 4-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | Haiti ๐ญ๐น |
| ๐ฒ๐ฆ Morocco | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | Scotland ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ |
| ๐ฒ๐ฆ Morocco | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Haiti ๐ญ๐น |
| ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | Haiti ๐ญ๐น |
DGroup D
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐บ๐ธ United States | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Paraguay ๐ต๐พ |
| ๐บ๐ธ United States | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | Australia ๐ฆ๐บ |
| ๐บ๐ธ United States | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Turkey ๐น๐ท |
| ๐ต๐พ Paraguay | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Australia ๐ฆ๐บ |
| ๐ต๐พ Paraguay | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Turkey ๐น๐ท |
| ๐ฆ๐บ Australia | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | Turkey ๐น๐ท |
EGroup E
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ฉ๐ช Germany | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Ecuador ๐ช๐จ |
| ๐ฉ๐ช Germany | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | Ivory Coast ๐จ๐ฎ |
| ๐ฉ๐ช Germany | 4-0 | 4-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | Curaรงao ๐จ๐ผ |
| ๐ช๐จ Ecuador | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Ivory Coast ๐จ๐ฎ |
| ๐ช๐จ Ecuador | 2-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Curaรงao ๐จ๐ผ |
| ๐จ๐ฎ Ivory Coast | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | Curaรงao ๐จ๐ผ |
FGroup F
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Japan ๐ฏ๐ต |
| ๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | Sweden ๐ธ๐ช |
| ๐ณ๐ฑ Netherlands | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Tunisia ๐น๐ณ |
| ๐ฏ๐ต Japan | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Sweden ๐ธ๐ช |
| ๐ฏ๐ต Japan | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Tunisia ๐น๐ณ |
| ๐ธ๐ช Sweden | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | Tunisia ๐น๐ณ |
GGroup G
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ง๐ช Belgium | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Iran ๐ฎ๐ท |
| ๐ง๐ช Belgium | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | Egypt ๐ช๐ฌ |
| ๐ง๐ช Belgium | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | New Zealand ๐ณ๐ฟ |
| ๐ฎ๐ท Iran | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | Egypt ๐ช๐ฌ |
| ๐ฎ๐ท Iran | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 | New Zealand ๐ณ๐ฟ |
| ๐ช๐ฌ Egypt | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | New Zealand ๐ณ๐ฟ |
HGroup H
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ช๐ธ Spain | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Uruguay ๐บ๐พ |
| ๐ช๐ธ Spain | 3-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ |
| ๐ช๐ธ Spain | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | Cape Verde ๐จ๐ป |
| ๐บ๐พ Uruguay | 2-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ |
| ๐บ๐พ Uruguay | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Cape Verde ๐จ๐ป |
| ๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Cape Verde ๐จ๐ป |
IGroup I
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ซ๐ท France | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2-1 | Senegal ๐ธ๐ณ |
| ๐ซ๐ท France | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | Norway ๐ณ๐ด |
| ๐ซ๐ท France | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 4-0 | Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ |
| ๐ธ๐ณ Senegal | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Norway ๐ณ๐ด |
| ๐ธ๐ณ Senegal | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ |
| ๐ณ๐ด Norway | 3-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ |
JGroup J
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ฆ๐ท Argentina | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Austria ๐ฆ๐น |
| ๐ฆ๐ท Argentina | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Algeria ๐ฉ๐ฟ |
| ๐ฆ๐ท Argentina | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | Jordan ๐ฏ๐ด |
| ๐ฆ๐น Austria | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Algeria ๐ฉ๐ฟ |
| ๐ฆ๐น Austria | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Jordan ๐ฏ๐ด |
| ๐ฉ๐ฟ Algeria | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Jordan ๐ฏ๐ด |
KGroup K
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ต๐น Portugal | 2-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | Colombia ๐จ๐ด |
| ๐ต๐น Portugal | 3-0 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | Uzbekistan ๐บ๐ฟ |
| ๐ต๐น Portugal | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | DR Congo ๐จ๐ฉ |
| ๐จ๐ด Colombia | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Uzbekistan ๐บ๐ฟ |
| ๐จ๐ด Colombia | 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | DR Congo ๐จ๐ฉ |
| ๐บ๐ฟ Uzbekistan | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | DR Congo ๐จ๐ฉ |
LGroup L
| Home | Opus | Sonnet | GPT-4o | Gemini | Away |
|---|
| ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | Croatia ๐ญ๐ท |
| ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Ghana ๐ฌ๐ญ |
| ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England | 2-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | Panama ๐ต๐ฆ |
| ๐ญ๐ท Croatia | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | Ghana ๐ฌ๐ญ |
| ๐ญ๐ท Croatia | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | Panama ๐ต๐ฆ |
| ๐ฌ๐ญ Ghana | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | Panama ๐ต๐ฆ |